HURRICANE JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16

NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122017
0900 UTC SAT SEP 09 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY…

NONE.

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SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT…

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* BARBUDA AND ANGUILLA
* SINT MAARTEN
* ST. MARTIN
* ST. BARTHELEMY

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* ANTIGUA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* ANTIGUA
* SABA AND ST. EUSTATIUS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR…
* MONTSERRAT… ST KITTS… AND NEVIS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* ST. THOMAS AND ST. JOHN

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA… IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS.
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA… IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA… GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 60.3W AT 09/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 940 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT.
64 KT……. 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT……. 50NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT…….120NE 80SE 50SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 150SE 150SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT…CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 60.3W AT 09/0900Z
AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 59.8W

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 18.4N 61.8W
MAX WIND 125 KT…GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT… 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT… 50NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT…120NE 90SE 50SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 19.9N 63.9W
MAX WIND 115 KT…GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT… 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT… 50NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT…120NE 90SE 50SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 21.5N 65.9W
MAX WIND 110 KT…GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT… 40NE 30SE 10SW 30NW.
50 KT… 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT…110NE 90SE 60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 23.1N 67.6W
MAX WIND 100 KT…GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT… 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT…110NE 90SE 60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 25.7N 69.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT…GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT… 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT…110NE 90SE 60SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE…ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5…AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 26.5N 67.6W
MAX WIND 80 KT…GUSTS 100 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 26.4N 66.3W
MAX WIND 80 KT…GUSTS 100 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N 60.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z

Source: The Daily Herald https://www.thedailyherald.sx/islands/69249-hurricane-jose-forecast-advisory-number-16

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