Tropical Storm Karen Advisory Number 6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122019
1100 AM AST Mon Sep 23 2019
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST…1500 UTC…INFORMATION
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LOCATION…14.9N 64.8W
ABOUT 195 MI…310 KM S OF ST. CROIX
ABOUT 255 MI…415 KM SSE OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…40 MPH…65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 12 MPH…19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1007 MB…29.74 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
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CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
The government of Antigua and Barbuda has issued a Tropical Storm Warning for the British Virgin Islands.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* U.S. Virgin Islands
* Puerto Rico, including Vieques and Culebra
* British Virgin Islands
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.
Interests elsewhere in the Lesser Antilles should monitor the progress of Karen.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
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At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Karen was located near latitude 14.9 North, longitude 64.8 West. Karen is moving toward the north-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this general motion is forecast to continue today. A turn toward the north is expected by Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of Karen will move across the eastern Caribbean Sea today, and pass pass near or over Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands Tuesday morning. Karen will move over the western Atlantic to the north of Puerto Rico on Tuesday night and Wednesday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Little overall change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km) from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
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WIND: Tropical storm conditions expected in the warning area by Tuesday morning.
Rainfall: Karen is expected to produce the following rainfall accumulations through Wednesday:
Northern Windward Islands…Additional 1 to 2 inches, isolated storm totals 3 inches.
Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands…2 to 4 inches, isolated 8 inches.
Source: The Daily Herald https://www.thedailyherald.sx/islands/91124-karen-not-well-organized-but-heading-toward-puerto-rico-and-the-virgin-islands-with-tropical-storm-force-winds-and-heavy-rainfall
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