NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016
800 AM AST THU SEP 29 2016
…HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT FINDS MATTHEW A LITTLE STRONGER…
SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST…1200 UTC…INFORMATION
ABOUT 300 MI…480 KM S OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
ABOUT 265 MI…430 KM ENE OF CURACAO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…70 MPH…110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…W OR 275 DEGREES AT 13 MPH…20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…995 MB…29.38 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
The Government of Barbados has discontinued the Tropical Storm
Warning for St. Vincent and the Grenadine Islands.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for…
* Bonaire, Curacao, and Aruba
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area.
Interests along the coast of Venezuela and Colombia should monitor
the progress of Matthew.
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
At 800 AM AST (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Matthew was
located near latitude 14.1 North, longitude 65.5 West. Matthew is
moving toward the west near 13 mph (20 km/h), and a general westward
motion with some decrease in forward speed is expected during the
next couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of Matthew
is forecast to pass to the north of Aruba, Bonaire, and Curacao
Reports from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft
indicate that the maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h)
with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is forecast during the
next 48 hours, and Matthew is forecast to become a hurricane later
today or tonight.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km)
primarily to the north and east of the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure based on data from
reconnaissance aircraft is 995 mb (29.38 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible in Bonaire, Curacao,
and Aruba beginning late today.
RAINFALL: Matthew is expected to produce total rainfall
accumulations of 4 to 8 inches across the Windward Islands and
southern portions of the Leeward Islands through Thursday. These
rains may produce life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.
Rainfall totals of 1 to 2 inches are expected farther to the north
into the northern Leeward Islands, including the United States and
British Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico. Rainfall totals of 1 to 3
inches are expected over Aruba, Bonaire, and Curacao through Friday.
Source: Daily Herald
TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4A