SABA/ST. EUSTATIUS–A Tropical Storm Watch for Hurricane Jerry remains in effect for Saba and St. Eustatius. Local authorities and residents of Saba and Statia were advised to continue monitoring the further progress of this weather system and to take all necessary measures to safeguard life and property.
On Thursday morning, Hurricane Jerry was located 788 kilometres (490 miles) east of Saba and Statia. The Category 1 hurricane was forecast to strengthen today, Friday, before some weakening begins this weekend.
Jerry is expected to pass 295 kilometres (185 miles) north/northeast of Saba/Statia as a Category 1 hurricane today between 6:00pm and 7:00pm, the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute KNMI said in its Tropical Cyclone Bulletin of late Thursday afternoon.
According to the KNMI, there is a five to 10 per cent risk of tropical storm conditions on Saba and Statia in the course of this afternoon and evening, into tonight, with winds of more than 62 kilometres per hour (39 miles per hour). The risk of hurricane conditions is near zero, the KNMI said.
The expected total rainfall amounts to 0.5 to one inch and there is a small risk of one to three inches of rainfall, the weather bureau said. Scattered, thundery showers are forecast, continuing on Saturday.
Gentle to moderate winds are expected. Winds will initially be easterly, but during the course of the day winds are expected to become north-westerly and eventually south- or south-westerly.
On Saturday, winds will gradually become south-easterly and increase to moderate to fresh, between four and five on the Beaufort scale. Both today and Saturday, wind gusts up to around 60 kilometres per hour (40 miles per hour) are expected near thunderstorms.
Waves of between five and seven feet are forecast with north to north-westerly swells around five feet. From this afternoon, waves may possibly increase to six to eight feet.
In case of tropical storm conditions rough seas with between eight- and 12-foot waves are possible, as well as northerly swell between six and eight feet.