TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK 800 AM EDT FRI SEP 9 2016

NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 

For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

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1. A large area of disturbed weather associated with a westward-moving
tropical wave is located about 1200 miles east of the Lesser
Antilles. This system is gradually becoming better organized, and
conditions are forecast to be favorable for a tropical depression
to form this weekend or early next week. This disturbance is
expected to move toward the west-northwest and then northwest over
the central Atlantic during the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…high…70 percent

2. Cloudiness and showers located just north of the northern Leeward
Islands are spreading west-northwestward with no signs of
organization. Environmental conditions are not expected to be
conducive for significant development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…10 percent

3. A small area of disturbed weather associated with a weak low
has formed between Cuba and the western Bahamas. This activity is
expected to spread westward across southern Florida and the Florida
Keys later today and Saturday. Upper-level winds are not favorable
for additional development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…10 percent

Forecaster Avila

Source: Daily Herald
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK 800 AM EDT FRI SEP 9 2016

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