NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Humberto, centered just east of the northwestern Bahamas.
- A fast-moving tropical wave is located about 950 miles east of the Lesser Antilles. This system is producing limited shower activity, and significant development of this system is not anticipated during the next several days while it moves quickly westward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…10 percent.
- An elongated area of disturbed weather is located about 650 miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Gradual development of this system is possible during the next several days, and a tropical
depression could form early next week while it moves westward across the tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…medium…60 percent.
- The area of disturbed weather that was located midway between the Lesser Antilles and the Cabo Verde Islands has merged with the easternmost tropical wave mentioned above. Development of the
original disturbance is no longer anticipated.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…near 0 percent.
- A large area of showers and thunderstorms over the eastern Gulf of Mexico is primarily associated with a upper-level low pressure area. Only slow development of this system is likely during the next couple of days. However, conditions could become more conducive for development early next week as the system moves over the western Gulf of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…30 percent.
Source: The Daily Herald https://www.thedailyherald.sx/islands/90885-tropical-weather-outlook-800-am-edt-sat-sep-14-2019