Tropical Weather Outlook 800 AM EDT Wed Aug 16 2017

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Gert, located a few hundred miles northwest of Bermuda.

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1. A low pressure system located about 900 miles east of the Lesser Antilles continues to produce disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms.  This system is moving westward at 15 to 20 mph, and it is expected to cross into the Caribbean Sea on Friday.

Upper-level winds are forecast to become a little more conducive for development during the next several days, and interests in the Lesser Antilles should monitor the progress of this system.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…30 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days…medium…40 percent.

2. A second area of low pressure located several hundred miles west of the Cape Verde Islands is also producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Gradual development of this system is possible during the next few days before upper-level winds become less conducive over the weekend. This system is expected to move west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph during the next several days.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…30 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days…medium…40 percent.

3. A tropical wave near the west coast of Africa is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this wave while it moves westward to west-northwestward at about 15 mph during the next several days.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days…medium…40 percent.

Forecaster Berg

Source: The Daily Herald https://www.thedailyherald.sx/islands/68583-tropical-weather-outlook-800-am-edt-wed-aug-16-2017

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