NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. A large area of disturbed weather located a little more than 1,000 miles east of the Windward Islands is associated with a tropical wave moving westward about 10 to 15 mph. Some slight development is possible during the next day or two before the environment becomes unfavourable for tropical cyclone formation.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent.
2. A non-tropical low is forecast to form this weekend between Bermuda and the Azores. After that time, conditions are expected to be favourable for subtropical or tropical cyclone formation while the low meanders over the north Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent.
Forecaster Avila
Source: The Daily Herald https://www.thedailyherald.sx/islands/80765-tropical-weather-outlook-800-am-edt-wed-sep-19-2018
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