SINT MAARTEN/CARIBBEAN – Crown Weather on Sunday issued a preliminary forecast for the 2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season which is a little over two-months away from the official June 1ststart of the season.
Crown Weather forecast up to 10-named storms; six of those are expected to become a hurricane; and three of those are expected to become major hurricanes of Category 3 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson scale.
Crown Weather feels that we are in for a “slightly below average season” with storm activity occurring in three areas off the continental United States: the first area is in the vicinity of the Carolinas; the second area is in the Gulf of Mexico off Texas; and the third area, also in the Gulf of Mexico near Louisiana.
Crown Weather: “Activity during the 2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season is likely to be influenced by building El Nino conditions. This potentially means a lower than average number of storms, HOWEVER, this does not necessarily mean that the threat for a tropical storm or hurricane impact is lower as there is data supporting the idea of at least one landfall of a tropical storm/hurricane on the US coast and/or eastern Caribbean this season. In addition, I am expecting the formation of at least one tropical storm in the western Atlantic during either May or early June. In addition, I also think that we could start out “quick” with tropical storm/hurricane formation from May to August, but then slow down in activity during September with the hurricane season potentially ending early in October as El Nino strengthens and attempts to make the Atlantic increasingly more unfavorable for development.”
SOUALIGA NEWSDAY WEATHER WATCH