SINT MAARTEN/CARIBBEAN – The Department of Atmospheric Science of the Colorado State University (CSU) in the U.S. has released its latest seasonal forecast for the 2020 Atlantic hurricane season whereby they have increased their forecast which now calls for an extremely active season.
The last season forecast before this one was July 7 where CSU forecasted 20 named storms, of which nine (9) would become hurricanes and four (4) of those would turn into major hurricanes of Category 3 or more.
The August 5 seasonal forecast calls for 24 named storms, 12 hurricanes and five (5) major hurricanes.
The 2020 season has already set some records with the first named storms and hurricanes forming early in the season breaking a number of records. To date we already have seen nine named storms of which two became hurricanes: Arthur, Bertha, Cristobal, Dolly, Edouard, Fay, Gonzalo, Hanna, and Isaias. The next named storm will be called Josephine. At the moment there are no active storm systems.
Weather forecasters from CSU said this week: “Sea surface temperatures averaged across the tropical Atlantic are much warmer than normal, and vertical wind shear is well below average.
“Current cool neutral ENSO conditions may transition to weak La Niña conditions by later this summer. We anticipate an above-normal probability for major hurricanes making landfall along the continental United States coastline and in the Caribbean.
“As is the case with all hurricane seasons, coastal residents are reminded that it only takes one hurricane making landfall to make it an active season for them. They should prepare the same for every season, regardless of how much activity is predicted.”